Can you really predict the future?
And even if you could… could you predict how the stock market would react to it? Highly unlikely.
Let’s take a moment to rewind to 2016.
What if someone had told you then that in the next 8 to 10 years, all of the following would happen?
India would announce demonetisation overnight.
GST would be introduced, reshaping business compliance.
Long-term capital gains would be taxed—and later, the rate would rise.
Short-term capital gains tax would also increase—twice.
Dividends would become taxable income.
A global pandemic would shake the world with no cure in sight initially.
Russia would invade Ukraine, leading to a drawn-out war.
Israel, Iraq, and Palestine would engage in serious conflict.
India and Pakistan would be on the verge of war.
The Modi government would lose majority, needing allies like Nitish Kumar and Chandrababu.
Donald Trump would return as US President.
Developed countries would start experiencing negative interest rates.
Inflation would rise rapidly.
The US would impose tariffs globally, disrupting trade.
The US debt situation would become so severe, talks of default would surface.
Each of these events on their own could have spooked investors. Collectively? It would seem like a market apocalypse.
Had you known all this in advance in 2016, would you have dared to invest?
Most people wouldn’t.
And yet… here’s what actually happened:
📈 The Nifty delivered an 11.9% CAGR over the past 10 years.
📈 A well-diversified portfolio of mutual funds? Around 14–15% CAGR.
Surprised?
That’s the power of long-term investing and staying the course—no matter the headlines.
So, still want to play the prediction game?
Tell us: How will the Israel-Iran conflict affect the markets?
Exactly. No one knows. And it doesn’t matter.
If your investment horizon is long enough, the smartest move you can make is not trying to time the market—but trusting it to work in your favor over time.
Build wealth with wisdom, not guesses.
📞 Looking to build a strong, diversified portfolio of mutual funds?
Connect with Pragati Funds today. Let’s build your future the smart way.
